1. KAUTIR (Kerala Agricultural University Theses Information and Retrieval)

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    Indebtedness of farmers: a study of farmer borrowers of primary agriculctural credit societies in Palakkad district of Kerala state
    (Department of Rural Banking and Finance Management,College of Co-operation,Banking &Management, Vellanikkara, 2010) Sowmya, K C; Lizy, M A
    The study entitled “Indebtedness of farmers: A study of farmers borrowers of Primary Agricultural Credit Societies in Palakkad District was conducted to examine the factors that contribute to the problems of indebtedness among the farmers in Palakkad District and to suggest the measures to be taken to solve the problems. The study was conducted among two PACS of Palakkad District viz., Peruvemba Service Co-operative Bank (PACS 1) and Polpully Service Co-operative Bank (PACS 2). The sample size included 90 respondents i.e., 45 borrowers from each PACS at random, of which 76.67 per cent were defaulters and rest were nondefaulters. Ten officials (including President and Secretary) from each PACS were also interviewed to collect information on the effectiveness of the loan operation system of the PACS. Secondary data on selected performance indicators of the PACS were also used for the study. Statistical tools like Average Annual Growth Rate (AAGR), simple averages, percentages, simple growth rate, simple correlation, efficiency index, priority index and bi-variate tables were used for the analysis. The analysis revealed that inadequacy of income, natural calamities and crop failures, non availability of labourers and high wages were the main reasons for indebtedness. Faith in loan waiver or write off policy, non institutional loan and high interest rate, defective loan policies, illness of borrower or family members, ceremonies, fixation of unrealistic due and lack of access to consumption loans and diversification of income have also been pointed out as reasons behind increasing indebtedness of farmers. The study revealed that procedural delays, lack of adequate securities to hypothecate, misutilisation of loans and inadequate income restricted the borrowers from getting timely loans. It was further observed that defective loaning policy, conspicuous consumption and illness of family members as well as hope for loan write-off policy were the other reasons behind non-repayment by borrowers. Majority of the defaulters opined that the loan amount provided by PACS were insufficient to meet the project cost there by forcing the borrowers to approach other sources for finance. This inturn puts an additional burden on farmers. From the interbank comparison on the effectiveness of the present loan operation system, it was found that the loan operation system of PACS (1) is least efficient and in the case of PACS (2) it is moderately efficient. The overall performance of PACS, commitment of BODs, management, member relations, intrabank relations were appreciable. But in the opinion of the bank officials, Presidents and Secretaries there was something more to be perfected in the existing loan operation system. According to the officials and employees of PACS, the reasons for indebtedness include natural calamities, high cost of cultivation, insufficient income from agriculture, non availability of labourers etc. The mounting overdues affecting the net profit position of PACS. Misutilisation of loan due to inadequate staff for field supervision and loan appraisal was yet another problem as far as the PACS were concerned. The effectiveness of any scheme to a greater extent is correlated to the number of visits made by the bank officials to the beneficiaries. There exist a drastic need for skilled personnel for field supervision and loan appraisal. It is obvious that co-operatives are still following traditional methods and techniques of management, which has to be replaced by modern measures of management and accounting.
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    Prediction of futures prices of rubber
    (Department of Rural Banking and Finance Management, College of Co-operation, Banking and Management, Vellanikkara, 2009) Anjaly, K N; Molly Joseph
    The present study entitled “PREDICTION OF FUTURES PRICES OF RUBBER” was conducted with the following objectives i) to examine the price movements of rubber futures through NMCE; ii) to predict the rubber futures prices and iii) to compare the forecasting performance of univariate and multivariate models. Futures trading perform two important functions - price discovery and hedging of price risk, hence an effort to predict the futures prices of rubber, a predominant crop of Kerala, is of contemporary significance to the rubber growers and traders. The study was based on secondary data. Futures prices of daily open, low, high, close and spot and volume traded of rubber were collected for a period from April 2003 to August 2008 from National Multi Commodity Exchange. The daily data were converted into monthly averages for the analysis. The price movements of rubber futures have been examined using ordinary line graph, correlation, candlestick chart, Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) and ANOVA. Correlation has been found inorder to measure the relation between the domestic rubber prices and the crude oil prices. ANOVA was used to find the significance in the growth rate of rubber prices over different time periods. Prediction of futures prices of rubber has been done using the Multiple Linear Regression, Principal Component Analysis and ARIMA and the results of these models were compared to measure the forecasting performance of these models. The price movements of rubber futures using the line graph showed that both the spot and futures prices were highly related and hence prediction of one with the other is possible. Rubber is an internationally traded commodity and the hike in the rubber prices globally influence the domestic the rubber pries. Moreover the rise in the crude oil prices influenced the natural rubber prices, since the movements of domestic rubber prices and the crude oil prices showed a positive correlation. The volumes traded were also fluctuating over the years. The ban on futures trading in rubber drastically reduced the volume traded due to loss of investors’ confidence. Candlestick chart showed that the prices were fluctuating with bullish, bearish and neutral trend. Even though the rubber prices increased, the growth rate of rubber prices and volume traded over the years revealed a lower annualized gain making it clear that there was no abnormal hike in the rubber prices. Hence the rise in rubber prices cannot be attributed to futures trading. The prediction of futures prices of rubber were done by different forecasting models, viz., ARIMA, MLR and PCA. MLR got R square and adjusted R square of 92.1 per cent and 91.5 per cent both values showing the significance of the model for predicting the futures prices. Even though the value of R square is very high none of the regression coefficients were significant in the multiple linear regression model. This might be due to the multicollinearity of the independent variables viz; open, high, low and volume traded which are highly correlated. Hence the principal component analysis was done. The R square and Adjusted R square for the regression equation fitted using the Principal components as regressor are 91.7 per cent and 91.6 per cent respectively. So with P1 ie., the first component generated using open price, it was able to predict 91.7 per cent of the variation in the close price of rubber futures. The ARIMA results got R square of 99 per cent wth MAPE 1.97 per cent indicating that the forecasting inaccuracy was very low and the Normalized Bayesian Criteria (BIC) of 10.478 indicated goodness of fit of the model and the accuracy of the prediction. While comparing the results of MLR, PCA and ARIMA, it was found ARIMA performed better in prediction. Also the forecasting errors of ARIMA were negligible indicating the forecasting efficiency of the model. Hence the study concluded that the univariate model outperforms the multivariate model with better accuracy in prediction.
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    Agricultural financing through kisan credit card scheme in Thrissur district
    (Department of Rural Banking and Finance Management,College of Co Operation Banking and Management, Vellanikkara, 2005) Ronia C Antony; George, K M
    The study on ‘The Agricultural Financing through Kisan Credit Card Scheme in Thrissur district’ was undertaken with the following objectives. 1. To examine the procedural differences among various lending institutions in implementing the scheme of Kisan Credit Card. 2. To study the farmers’ behaviour towards the Kisan Credit Card Scheme. The study was conducted among three banks of Thrissur district viz., Canara bank, Federal bank and TDCB. The banks were having issued highest number of Kisan Credit cards in the year 2000-01. Branches of these banks were selected from highest amount of crop lending block i.e. Ollukkara block. A sample group of 50 card holders from each banks were selected for survey. Secondary data on procedural formalities of the banks were also used for the study. Statistical tools like percentages, averages, satisfaction index, priority index and bi-variate and multi-variate tables were used for analysis. The analysis on the first objective revealed that there are both similarities and dissimilarities in their formalities. In launching of Kisan Credit Card Scheme, objective, eligibility criteria of farmers, credit limit fixation, security and margin requirement, interest rate, repayment period, issue of cheque books and levying service charges could see many procedural differences among the banks. But in documentation, issue of cards, maintenance of accounts, monitoring mechanism and replacement of lost cards, their formalities are more or less similar. The study revealed that major reasons for selecting the branches were proximity to their residence followed by quality of their service. It was further observed that almost all the respondents agreed that expansion of their agricultural operations and to meet their working capital requirement were the major purpose of joining the scheme. The study again revealed that majority of card holders were the bank’s existing borrowers. Here the banks were inefficient to cater more number of farmers under the scheme. In case of credit utilization pattern of card holders, majority were sanctioned their credit limit above 90 percent of their applied amount. Almost all the farmers were utilizing about full amount of the credit. It was found that most of the farmers have repaid their credit within the time limit. Among the sample banks, TDCB showed comparatively better performance in the repayment. Only a small number of respondents were defaulting their repayment, mainly because of price fall and loan diversion. The study revealed that majority of farmers utilised below Rs. 25000 for agricultural purpose, because the dominance of small and marginal farmers in the scheme. A close observation of the scheme reveals that the respondents are satisfied with the performance of the scheme. The study emphasized that steps should be taken to provide proper extension service to farmers inorder to improve their productivity. The study again suggested that financing under the scheme in a compact area will be more effective than present unplanned scattered lending.
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    Loan recovery management in primary co-operative agricultural and rural development banks in Kerala
    (Department of Rural Banking and Finance Management, College of Co-operation Banking and Management, Vellanikkara, 2004) Renjitha, N T; Lizy, M A
    The study entitled "Loan Recovery Management in Primary Co-operative Agricultural and Rural Development Banks in Kerala" was conducted to examine the effectiveness of the existing loan recovery management of Primary Co-operative Agricultural and Rural Development Banks in Kerala and to identify the factors influencing recovery. The study was conducted among four PCARDBs of Ernakulam and Thrissur district viz., Kanayannur CARDB (B 1), Ernakulam CARDB (B2), Cochin CARDB (B3) and Irinjalakuda CARDB (B4). The sample size included 80 respondents i.e., 20 borrowers from each bank at random, of which 15 were defaulters and five were non-defaulters or prompt repayers. Ten officials (including secretaries and BODs) from each bank were also interviewed to collect information on the effectiveness of the loan recovery system of the banks. Secondary data on selected performance indicators of the banks were also used for the study. Statistical tools like AAGR, simple averages, percentages, simple growth rate, simple correlation, efficiency index, priority index and bi-variate tables were used for the analysis. The analysis on the overdue amount of the selected PCARDBs, revealed that Cochin CARDB (B3) had the highest amount of overdues among all the banks, , during the reference period. Profits of all banks have eroded due to provisronmg for accumulated overdues. B4 has shown the best performance in terms of lower overdues and higher profitswhen compared to the other banks. An increase in the demand for nOI1- agricultural loans, particularly RHLs was found, which indicates a shift in the lending pattern. Overdues above four years were growing tremendously in all the banks. Most of the females were found to be prompt repayers. Inspite of having better education, the borrowers were creating huge overdues. This indicates the existence of wilful defaulters. The study found that the defaulters of all t11:;: banks except B4, having annual income above the subsistence level had higher am aunt of overdues, This highlights the fact that, even after having sufficient income, they were deliberately making dues as a result of the inefficient loan recovery management of the bank. The study revealed that procedural delays, lack of adequate securities to hypothecate, misutilisation of loans and inadequate income restricted the borrowers from getting timely loans. It was further observed that defective loaning policy, conspicuous consumption, and illness of family members as well as hope for 10a11 write-off policy were the other reasons behind non-repayment by borrowers. Misutilisation of loan amount was least in B4, which indicates the presence of effective supervision and monitoring mechanism in the bank. Loan amount was mainly diverted for meeting ceremonial expenses, consumption needs and educational expenses of children. The most serious problem in obtaining loam was revealed to be the procedural delay. From the inter-bank comparison on the effectiveness of the present loan recovery management system, it was found that B4 showed an outstanding performance in this regard, whereas B3 revealed to be the least efficient bank. According to the officials and employees of the banks, the reasons for poor recovery included lack of modern management techniques, lack of adequate staff training programmes, lack of infrastructural facilities and inefficiency of the legal machinery for recovering dues from borrowers. As a remedial measure to minimise overdues, coercive action against wilful defaulters and incentives for proper repayment must come into effect. For checking the rising trend of over dues in future, an effective loan appraisal as well as loan monitoring cell managed by professionals has to be established in each bank. The banks must put into effect the SARF AESI Ad, 2002 in order to bring a solution to the problem of overdues. The banks must therefore perceive that prolonged existence of this disease is not beneficial to the organisation and a strong mechanism to check this menace has to be created.
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    Comparative analysis of the performance of Kerala based banks
    (Department of Rural Banking and Finance Management, College of Co-operation, Banking and Management, Vellanikkara, 2002) Devika Mangsatabam; Molly Joseph